Event: Craps Day 7/11

The casino game Craps is a fast-paced game that involves gamblers standing shoulder-to-shoulder around a table, barking bets at dealers, all the while following strategies in hopes of making easy money.  It is reminiscent of the trading pits of old in Chicago and New York. 

In Craps it all begins with the Come Out roll, a fresh round with a clean table ready for new bets.  With the dice ready to fly, if a 7 or 11 (known as a Natural) is rolled, the table will go crazy with shouts of encouragement, and the house will immediately pay the Pass Line bets.  Want to learn more about Craps?  Here is a resource guide that translates trading concepts into playing Craps.  [Craps Explained]

Winner winner chicken dinner … let’s see if the days leading up to Craps Day on July 11th, are bullish or bearish for the futures markets.

Market Comparision 

How do the markets perform leading up to and including craps day?  The analysis table below breaks down each of the 30+ markets into four separate trading periods.  These time frames span 6-days, 4-day, 2-days and the event day itself.  The return performance for each time frame is measured against its normal performance during the year to calculate a final over or underperformance return.  This metric quantifies, in percentage points, the advantages or disadvantages associated with Craps Day in mid-July.  Markets highlighted with a checkmark or an “x” should be closely monitored for potential strength or weakness heading into the event. 

Bonus Analytics:  For complete analysis check out the performance of the markets leading up to Craps Don’t Pass Day

Performance Breakdown

Calendar Breakdown by Events

Take a look at how the markets perform around Holidays, Observances, and other Major Events.
Performance Breakdown

All trading involves risk. Leveraged trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures or options. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Our strategies have not been developed based on knowledge of or with reference to your particular circumstances, such as financial position, goals, risk-reward preferences, tax situation, brokerage arrangement, investment or trading experience, and so forth. Hence no content or model published here constitutes a recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. You alone are solely responsible for determining whether any investment, security or strategy, or any other product or service, is appropriate or suitable for you based on your investment objectives and personal financial situation. More