KC Wheat

Return Calendar: KC Wheat

Over the course of a year, every market experiences some degree of seasonal strength or weakness.  Our traditional seasonal charts provide a longer-term view of price gyrations throughout the year, but sometimes a quick review of daily returns based on calendar days provides a better shorter-term perspective.  With this in mind, we offer four Return Calendars that span different time periods across 30+ years of data.   These 1/2/4/6-day return calendars allow for a close inspection of market returns, each fixed on a specific day or date range. 

Return Calendar Examples:

• Average market performance the day before Christmas
• Return bias two days before and after the April 15th tax deadline
• Cumulative return based on the first four days of the new year
• Six-day performance return leading up to the end of the second quarter

Each Return Calendar is accessible by clicking on the separate tabs below.

Return Calendar Monthly Metrics

Each Return Calendar reviews 30-plus years of positive and negative daily returns.  At the bottom of each Return Calendar, there is a monthly breakdown of a few performance metrics. These include:

• Average Return for the series, including the best and worst return phase for the month.   
• Return Deviation of the average return – the smaller the number the more consistent the average return.
• Positive days/date range, the higher the number the greater the percent profitable periods over the month. 
• Consecutive positive and negative days/date range over the course of the month.  Focus on months that offer high consecutive periods of positive or negative return periods.