Event: Super Bowl Party

The National Football Leagues’ biggest game is played in February at the end of a long and grueling season.  The best of the NFC versus the best of the AFC, face-off for a chance to hold the Lombardi Trophy high above their heads and say they are the number one team in the NFL.  Plus we get to enjoy a bunch of award-winning commercials, an extravagant half-time show, and a lot of guacamole.  Every year excitement surrounding the game builds during the week … let’s crunch some numbers and see if that excitement historically translates into increased return performance across a diverse basket of futures markets. 

The questions is … Are the markets ready for some football leading up to the BIG Super Bowl weekend party? 

Market Comparision 

How do the markets perform leading up to Super Bowl weekend?  The analysis table below breaks down each of the 30+ markets into four separate trading periods.  These time frames span 6-days, 4-day, 2-days and the event day itself.  The return performance for each time frame is measured against its normal performance during the year to calculate a final over or underperformance return.  This metric quantifies, in percentage points, the advantages or disadvantages associated with the Super Bowl.  Markets highlighted with a checkmark or an “x” should be closely monitored for potential strength or weakness heading into the event. 

Shoutout to the New York Football Giants for their Super Bowl wins (1987, 1990, 2000, 2008, 2012).

Performance Breakdown

Calendar Breakdown by Events

Take a look at how the markets perform around Holidays, Observances, and other Major Events.
Performance Breakdown

All trading involves risk. Leveraged trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures or options. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Our strategies have not been developed based on knowledge of or with reference to your particular circumstances, such as financial position, goals, risk-reward preferences, tax situation, brokerage arrangement, investment or trading experience, and so forth. Hence no content or model published here constitutes a recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. You alone are solely responsible for determining whether any investment, security or strategy, or any other product or service, is appropriate or suitable for you based on your investment objectives and personal financial situation. More