Event: Christmas Eve 

Christmas is a federal holiday, which celebrates the birth of Christ on December 25th.  It also marks the culmination in retail spending, from November through December covering events such as Thanksgiving, Christmas and Hanukkah.  Consumer spending during the holiday season will make or break many businesses’ bottom line.  The question is … how will all of this spending, gift-giving, and holiday cheer influence; not just stock indices but a wide range of global futures markets?

“Maybe Christmas doesn’t come from a store. Maybe Christmas perhaps means a little bit more.” — The Grinch 

Market Comparision 

How do the markets perform leading up to and including the last trading day before Christmas?  The analysis table below breaks down each of the 30+ markets into four separate trading periods.  These time frames span 6-days, 4-day, 2-days and the event day itself.  The return performance for each time frame is measured against its normal performance during the year to calculate a final over or underperformance return.  This metric quantifies, in percentage points, the advantages or disadvantages associated with Christmas.  Markets highlighted with a checkmark or an “x” should be closely monitored for potential strength or weakness heading into the event. 

Performance Breakdown

Calendar Breakdown by Events

Take a look at how the markets perform around Holidays, Observances, and other Major Events.
Performance Breakdown

All trading involves risk. Leveraged trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures or options. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Our strategies have not been developed based on knowledge of or with reference to your particular circumstances, such as financial position, goals, risk-reward preferences, tax situation, brokerage arrangement, investment or trading experience, and so forth. Hence no content or model published here constitutes a recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. You alone are solely responsible for determining whether any investment, security or strategy, or any other product or service, is appropriate or suitable for you based on your investment objectives and personal financial situation. More