Event: Autumn Equinox
The Autumn Equinox marks the beginning of Fall in the Northern Hemisphere on September 22nd, or 23rd. Specifically, it’s the point at which when the Sun crosses the celestial equator which splits night and day equally. Well, technically not equal but pretty close to equal. The point is it’s the official start of the fall which translates into longer and colder days. This astronomical definition of fall will last until the winter solstice.
The questions is … do the markets wither away when fall is finally in the air?
Market Comparision
How do the markets perform leading up to and including the Autumn Equinox? The analysis table below breaks down each of the 30+ markets into four separate trading periods. These time frames span 6-days, 4-day, 2-days, and the event day itself. The return performance for each time frame is measured against its normal performance during the year to calculate a final over or underperformance return. This metric quantifies, in percentage points, the advantages or disadvantages associated with the Autumn Equinox. Markets highlighted with a checkmark or an “x” should be closely monitored for potential strength or weakness heading into the event.
Calendar Breakdown by Events
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